The notable shift in this round is that the narrative variable has yielded to the profit variable. Once actual earnings figures are revised down, rebounds supported only by liquidity lose their foundation, and with policy backstop expectations also receding, price has little cushion left.
US wholesale inflation climbed to its highest level since 2022 in September, according to Labor Department data released on October 15, with the producer price index rising far more than markets expected. Treasury yields and the dollar jumped after the print, US equity futures fell, and bets on whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates again this year split sharply. Sticky services inflation combined with energy price volatility has widened the divide inside the Fed over the path of disinflation, exposing global asset prices and cross-border capital flows to a fresh round of volatility.
[Brief] Bitcoin’s rally cooled after April jobs data failed to break through macroeconomic resistance levels, with Iran tensions and Bitcoin ETF outflows adding downward pressure. Analysts suggest BTC may need to consolidate while awaiting clearer macro signals. Source: The Block